Villa Dálmine vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GIM
3 - 1
DAL
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 0
DAL
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
DAL
1 - 2
SMA
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
INS
1 - 2
DAL
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
DAL
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 1
ALM
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
SMA
2 - 0
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAR
2 - 1
INS
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 1
SAR
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 3
SAR
23%
29%
48%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |