Vilches vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
MIJ
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BEN
2 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 2
BNS
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ALH
4 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 0
ATM
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
RJA
62%
22%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MLK
1 - 0
RJA
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
RJA
3 - 1
JUV
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MIJ
0 - 1
RJA
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |