Vilches vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
PJI
1 - 0
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
VIL
5 - 0
UBE
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 3
URG
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ILI
2 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +4 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATL
55%
23%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
BAI
0 - 0
RJA
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
RJA
5 - 2
CDV
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -4 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
JAB
3 - 3
RJA
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +6 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 0
PJI
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -4 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 0
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |