Vilches vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
LIN
2 - 0
VIL
69%
18%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 3
RJA
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +4 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAI
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDV
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -3 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 3
URG
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ATL
0 - 2
LIN
20%
24%
56%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
ATL
0 - 0
RJA
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
BAI
3 - 1
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
CDV
0 - 4
ATL
23%
24%
52%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
URG
1 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |