CD Vilches vs Recreativo Bailén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
IBR
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CPH
0 - 0
VIL
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
QUE
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
IDJ
3 - 0
VIL
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BAI
2 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
NAV
3 - 0
BAI
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAI
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BAI
1 - 0
IBR
51%
24%
25%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CPH
2 - 2
BAI
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |