Liga 3 Série A. Jor. 18

Länk Vilaverdense vs Montalegre analysis

Länk Vilaverdense Montalegre
43 ELO 31
14% Tilt -4.5%
4125º General ELO ranking 7105º
65º Country ELO ranking 144º
ELO win probability
77%
Länk Vilaverdense
14.8%
Draw
8.2%
Montalegre

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
Länk Vilaverdense
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.2%
Win probability
Montalegre
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Länk Vilaverdense
-3%
-4%
Montalegre

Points and table prediction

Länk Vilaverdense
Their league position
Montalegre
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
21
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Felgueiras 1932
44
44
100%
Länk Vilaverdense
40
40
100%
AD Sanjoanense
36
36
100%
Sporting Braga II
35
35
100%
Varzim
33
33
100%
Canelas 2010
30
30
100%
São João Ver
29
29
100%
USC Paredes
28
28
100%
Fafe
25
25
100%
Anadia
10º
23
23
10º
100%
Montalegre
11º
21
21
11º
100%
Vitória SC B
12º
12
12
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Länk Vilaverdense
Montalegre
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Länk Vilaverdense
Montalegre
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Länk Vilaverdense
Länk Vilaverdense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
SAN
AD Sanjoanense
1 - 1
Länk Vilaverdense
VIL
33%
26%
41%
43 39 4 0
28 Jan. 2023
VIL
Länk Vilaverdense
0 - 2
Felgueiras 1932
FEL
55%
22%
23%
45 44 1 -2
22 Jan. 2023
ANA
Anadia
1 - 1
Länk Vilaverdense
VIL
19%
24%
57%
45 34 11 0
15 Jan. 2023
VIL
Länk Vilaverdense
3 - 2
Fafe
FAF
83%
12%
5%
45 31 14 0
11 Jan. 2023
VIL
Länk Vilaverdense
1 - 4
Belenenses SAD
BEL
17%
21%
62%
46 61 15 -1

Matches

Montalegre
Montalegre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
MON
Montalegre
1 - 2
Varzim
VAR
14%
24%
62%
32 53 21 0
28 Jan. 2023
SAO
São João Ver
2 - 0
Montalegre
MON
44%
25%
32%
33 35 2 -1
21 Jan. 2023
VSC
Vitória SC B
2 - 2
Montalegre
MON
37%
23%
40%
34 27 7 -1
13 Jan. 2023
MON
Montalegre
1 - 0
AD Sanjoanense
SAN
36%
24%
40%
33 38 5 +1
08 Jan. 2023
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
0 - 2
Montalegre
MON
71%
19%
11%
31 43 12 +2
X