Capixaba PLAY OFFS. Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilavelhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
REA
2 - 3
VFC
53%
22%
26%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
VFC
3 - 3
SER
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 3
VFC
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 0
SAO
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
VFC
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 2
VIT
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 2
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
REA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
RVV
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |