Vilavelhense vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilavelhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
VFC
80%
13%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 1
VFC
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VFC
4 - 0
GEL
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VFC
0 - 2
VIT
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
VFC
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 2
POR
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
REA
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
RIO
50%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
PIN
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |