Vilanova Vallès vs Sta. Maria Montcada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
65.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilanova Vallès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MNO
2 - 2
VVA
39%
23%
38%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VVA
1 - 1
LOU
59%
21%
20%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LLI
2 - 2
VVA
72%
15%
13%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 1
VVA
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
VVA
0 - 0
USP
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sta. Maria Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SMM
3 - 0
VIL
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 4
SMM
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SMM
1 - 0
SER
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SMM
0 - 0
MON
44%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LLI
0 - 3
SMM
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |