Vila Real vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 3
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
VIL
36%
26%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
SAL
36%
28%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 3
COI
48%
27%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 2
VIL
43%
27%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 0
SAL
34%
29%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
COI
1 - 1
CIN
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CIN
1 - 0
TIR
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 0
AMA
35%
28%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
CIN
37%
28%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |