Vila Real vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
1DE
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
RIB
2 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
6%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 3
VAR
18%
24%
58%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
ADO
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
ADO
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 2
ADO
83%
13%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ADO
1 - 2
JOA
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 1
ADO
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |