Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 3
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
PPE
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 0
BRA
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 1
VAS
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 0
DUQ
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
VAS
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |