Copa Verde . Quarter-finals
Global 0-0
Vila Nova vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
LUV
0 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
ITU
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
LUV
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
VIL
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
GAM
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 0
INT
68%
22%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
LUZ
48%
27%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
GAM
17%
23%
59%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
GAM
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |