Vila Nova vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIL
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
BAH
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
BOT
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 0
CSA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSA
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
CRB
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CSA
3 - 0
CSE
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |