Vila Nova vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CSA
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIL
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
BAH
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 0
COT
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
LON
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
COT
0 - 1
FLA
9%
17%
74%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
COT
2 - 0
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |