Vila Nova vs CDR Guará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
ITU
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOI
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CDR Guará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
20%
25%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |