Goiano 1 Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
ANA
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ANA
0 - 3
VIL
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
JAR
2 - 0
VIL
11%
19%
70%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
APA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
IPO
0 - 0
VIL
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
APA
2 - 1
JAT
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JAT
0 - 3
APA
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
APA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |