Goiano 1 Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Vila Nova vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 1
VIL
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUV
78%
17%
5%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 0
VIL
18%
25%
56%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
MOR
76%
18%
6%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 0
VIL
18%
25%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 1
GRE
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 0
ANA
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 0
APA
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
ANA
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |