Qualif. Champions Playoffs. Final
Global 2-1
Viktoria Plzeň vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
VKP
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HRA
1 - 2
VKP
25%
26%
50%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
VKP
2 - 1
SHF
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VKP
2 - 1
PAR
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 2
VKP
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
VKP
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
QAR
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 3
QAR
60%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
SEB
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 1
FTC
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -2 |