Viktoria Köln vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VIK
1 - 1
ZWI
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VIK
2 - 1
VIK
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
VIK
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
KSC
5 - 1
VIK
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
SPV
0 - 3
VIK
4%
9%
87%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HOF
3 - 1
REI
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HOF
2 - 2
SGF
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 0
HOF
18%
21%
61%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
HOF
2 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
HOF
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |