Viktoria Köln vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 4
VIK
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
VIK
2 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
VIK
1 - 4
BOR
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
WUP
3 - 3
VIK
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
LOK
0 - 5
VIK
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 1
HEI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SGD
1 - 1
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 1
AUG
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
FCN
22%
22%
56%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 0
ZWI
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |