Regionalliga Bayern. Jor. 20

Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen analysis

Viktoria Aschaffenburg Illertissen
37 ELO 39
10.5% Tilt 1.5%
4897º General ELO ranking 3533º
161º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
23.8%
Draw
34.4%
Illertissen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.4%
Win probability
Illertissen
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
-34%
+18%
Illertissen

ELO progression

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Illertissen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2021
SCH
Schweinfurt
2 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
76%
14%
10%
38 47 9 0
19 Oct. 2021
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 1
Unterhaching
UNT
30%
23%
47%
38 44 6 0
15 Oct. 2021
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
27%
22%
51%
39 47 8 -1
09 Oct. 2021
ROS
Rosenheim
0 - 2
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
19%
21%
60%
38 25 13 +1
05 Oct. 2021
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2 - 1
FC Pipinsried
FCP
41%
23%
36%
38 41 3 0

Matches

Illertissen
Illertissen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2021
ELT
Eltersdorf
0 - 2
Illertissen
ILL
44%
23%
33%
38 37 1 0
16 Oct. 2021
ILL
Illertissen
1 - 1
Schweinfurt
SCH
22%
22%
56%
38 48 10 0
13 Oct. 2021
ROS
Rosenheim
0 - 3
Illertissen
ILL
17%
20%
63%
37 23 14 +1
08 Oct. 2021
ILL
Illertissen
4 - 1
Heimstetten
HEI
42%
24%
35%
36 38 2 +1
02 Oct. 2021
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
4 - 2
Illertissen
ILL
72%
17%
12%
37 48 11 -1
X