Regionalliga Bayern. Jor. 18

Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

Viktoria Aschaffenburg Bayreuth SpVgg
38 ELO 47
13.1% Tilt 2%
4894º General ELO ranking 3815º
160º Country ELO ranking 110º
ELO win probability
26.9%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
22.2%
Draw
50.9%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.9%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
-34%
-13%
Bayreuth SpVgg

ELO progression

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2021
ROS
Rosenheim
0 - 2
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
19%
21%
60%
38 25 13 0
05 Oct. 2021
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2 - 1
FC Pipinsried
FCP
41%
23%
36%
38 41 3 0
25 Sep. 2021
SCH
Schalding-Heining
2 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
30%
23%
47%
39 32 7 -1
10 Sep. 2021
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 2
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
76%
15%
8%
39 56 17 0
03 Sep. 2021
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
4 - 1
Memmingen
MEM
56%
22%
23%
38 36 2 +1

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2021
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 3
Schweinfurt
SCH
52%
22%
26%
48 46 2 0
02 Oct. 2021
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
4 - 2
Illertissen
ILL
72%
17%
12%
48 37 11 0
28 Sep. 2021
AUG
FC Augsburg II
2 - 6
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
27%
23%
50%
47 41 6 +1
24 Sep. 2021
ROS
Rosenheim
1 - 5
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
11%
18%
72%
47 27 20 0
11 Sep. 2021
SCH
Schalding-Heining
0 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
19%
21%
61%
46 34 12 +1
X