Vigor Mocidade vs Académica-SF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Mocidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
VIM
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 1
ACA
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 3
VIM
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
3 - 0
COV
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 1
VIM
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Académica-SF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
3 - 0
TOU
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACA
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 1
FEB
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
ACA
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 1
ANC
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |