Victory vs Valencia de Leogane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
AIG
2 - 0
VIC
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAV
3 - 0
VIC
33%
33%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 0
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TEM
1 - 0
VIC
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
RAC
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
RAC
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
TEM
0 - 0
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
AIG
52%
28%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
BAL
45%
31%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
VAL
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |