Victory vs Cavaly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
VIC
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 0
TEM
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
VIC
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
VIC
42%
31%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FIC
5 - 1
VIC
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 2
DON
36%
33%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
CAV
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 0
BAL
42%
33%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 0
FIC
34%
31%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAV
46%
32%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |