Victory vs Saint-Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
24.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 1
ASC
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
VIC
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TEM
1 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TDL
0 - 3
VIC
39%
30%
32%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIC
41%
31%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TEM
1 - 0
ASS
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
VAL
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 0
TDL
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 0
RAC
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AIG
0 - 1
ASS
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |