VfR Aalen vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 1
VFR
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
STE
3 - 3
VFR
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VFR
1 - 3
FRE
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
VFR
0 - 2
BAL
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 0
VFR
46%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ULM
1 - 1
KOB
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ULM
1 - 0
AST
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ELV
0 - 2
ULM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
ULM
1 - 1
SMA
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HOM
4 - 4
ULM
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |