VfR Aalen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
OSN
1 - 0
VFR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VFR
4 - 0
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ZWI
2 - 1
VFR
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
VFR
3 - 0
KÖL
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 2
VFR
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MSV
3 - 2
FSV
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 1
MSV
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MSV
2 - 1
SGS
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 0
MSV
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MSV
1 - 1
SSV
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |