VfL Vichttal vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
9º
2º
33
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Vichttal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 0
USC
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
VFL
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 0
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 0
VFL
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
VFL
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BFR
0 - 0
SCF
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 2
BFR
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BFR
2 - 2
HUR
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DUR
3 - 0
BFR
81%
12%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 2
KON
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |