VfL Halle vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Halle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
VFL
1 - 2
M05
11%
18%
71%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
SVG
4 - 0
VFL
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -3 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
VFL
4 - 3
ENE
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
SUH
0 - 6
VFL
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ASC
1 - 5
VFL
13%
23%
65%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1999 |
LAS
3 - 3
ERZ
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 1
DRE
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
PLA
2 - 4
ERZ
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1999 |
ERZ
0 - 1
LOK
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
BAB
2 - 1
ERZ
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |