VfL Bremen vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
81.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HAB
0 - 1
VFL
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 2
VFL
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VFL
0 - 3
OBE
6%
13%
81%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SGA
3 - 0
VFL
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VFL
1 - 3
WUL
36%
23%
40%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WER
1 - 2
FCB
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WER
4 - 0
OSC
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 8
WER
8%
15%
77%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HAB
2 - 2
WER
9%
15%
76%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
WER
0 - 2
TUR
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |