VfB Krieschow vs FC Grimma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
11º
6º
32
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GER
5 - 2
VFB
34%
22%
44%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VFB
0 - 1
SCF
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BIS
3 - 1
VFB
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 3
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 3
VFB
29%
21%
50%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVG
0 - 1
LFC
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
SVG
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVG
2 - 1
EWD
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SVG
0 - 0
SVA
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GER
5 - 0
SVG
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |