VfB Krieschow vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
16º
2º
50
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 1
VFB
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VFB
1 - 1
SVB
69%
17%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 0
VFB
13%
18%
70%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VFB
3 - 2
SVW
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 3
VFB
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AUE
0 - 1
EIL
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SVG
1 - 2
AUE
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 1
FCA
62%
19%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 0
AUE
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 3
EWD
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |