Homberg vs FC Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
DUS
2 - 2
VFB
11%
17%
72%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VFB
3 - 3
HIL
80%
13%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 4
VFB
35%
24%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VFB
6 - 1
1FC
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MEE
1 - 3
VFB
32%
23%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 2
NET
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 3
FCB
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FCB
4 - 1
SPE
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCB
3 - 0
JDH
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DUS
3 - 1
FCB
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |