Oberliga Bayern Sud round 28

VfB Hallbergmoos vs SV Erlbach analysis

VfB Hallbergmoos SV Erlbach
18 ELO 28
-2.1% Tilt 4%
9437º General ELO ranking 4176º
456º Country ELO ranking 174º
ELO win probability
17.3%
VfB Hallbergmoos
22.4%
Draw
60.3%
SV Erlbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
VfB Hallbergmoos
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.3%
Win probability
SV Erlbach
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

VfB Hallbergmoos
Their league position
SV Erlbach
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
18º
18º
42
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schalding-Heining
73
73
100%
Memmingen
63
63
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
60
60
0%
Landsberg
60
60
100%
Kottern
60
60
0%
Kirchanschöring
58
58
100%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
54
54
100%
1860 München II
53
53
100%
FC Gundelfingen
50
50
100%
Ismaning
10º
50
50
10º
100%
TSV Nördlingen
11º
46
46
11º
100%
FC Deisenhofen
12º
44
44
12º
100%
SV Erlbach
13º
42
42
13º
100%
Dachau
14º
40
40
14º
100%
VfR Garching
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Türkspor Augsburg
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Rosenheim
17º
21
21
17º
100%
VfB Hallbergmoos
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfB Hallbergmoos
SV Erlbach
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

VfB Hallbergmoos
SV Erlbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Hallbergmoos
VfB Hallbergmoos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
KIR
Kirchanschöring
2 - 1
VfB Hallbergmoos
VFB
74%
17%
9%
17 30 13 0
31 Mar. 2023
VFB
VfB Hallbergmoos
1 - 2
VfR Garching
VRG
19%
20%
61%
18 25 7 -1
25 Mar. 2023
DEI
FC Deisenhofen
2 - 1
VfB Hallbergmoos
VFB
72%
17%
11%
18 27 9 0
17 Mar. 2023
VFB
VfB Hallbergmoos
1 - 2
Dachau
DAC
27%
22%
51%
19 24 5 -1
11 Mar. 2023
SCH
Schalding-Heining
3 - 1
VfB Hallbergmoos
VFB
81%
13%
6%
19 41 22 0

Matches

SV Erlbach
SV Erlbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
ERL
SV Erlbach
1 - 1
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
26%
22%
52%
28 35 7 0
01 Apr. 2023
ISM
Ismaning
1 - 1
SV Erlbach
ERL
44%
24%
32%
28 25 3 0
25 Mar. 2023
ROS
Rosenheim
0 - 2
SV Erlbach
ERL
26%
24%
50%
29 20 9 -1
18 Mar. 2023
ERL
SV Erlbach
1 - 2
Kirchanschöring
KIR
39%
24%
37%
31 34 3 -2
12 Mar. 2023
VRG
VfR Garching
0 - 2
SV Erlbach
ERL
38%
25%
38%
30 26 4 +1