Vermont Green vs Western Mass Pioneers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vermont Green
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
VGF
8 - 0
PFC
86%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 3
VGF
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
GBF
1 - 0
VGF
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
VGF
3 - 1
BCF
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
VGF
3 - 0
ALB
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Western Mass Pioneers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WES
4 - 0
CAC
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 4
WES
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
PFC
0 - 3
WES
12%
17%
71%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WES
3 - 1
SEA
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
WES
3 - 2
VGF
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |