Verlaine vs Warnant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verlaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ENT
0 - 1
VER
12%
19%
70%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 5
VER
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 5 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
VER
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
HON
86%
10%
5%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RIC
0 - 0
VER
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
HON
1 - 2
WAR
13%
18%
70%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 1
WEY
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 1
STA
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
2 - 1
ENT
79%
13%
7%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
WAR
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |