Verlaine vs RFC Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verlaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
VER
4 - 1
SLS
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
VER
1 - 2
SER
8%
16%
76%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
GIV
0 - 5
VER
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VER
3 - 0
ACR
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
REB
3 - 1
VER
78%
14%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MVV
1 - 1
LIE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 1
LIE
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
DEN
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
LIE
4 - 0
DES
72%
18%
11%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DES
2 - 4
LIE
37%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |