Verl vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
KAI
1 - 1
VER
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
VER
2 - 3
SAA
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
BOR
1 - 2
VER
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
VER
1 - 1
EIN
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
VER
5 - 0
WUP
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
PAD
3 - 0
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
HOM
1 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
PAD
2 - 1
SAL
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
AAA
2 - 3
PAD
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
PAD
3 - 0
FCR
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |