3. Division Grupo 4 round 21

Verdal vs Stabæk II analysis

Verdal Stabæk II
23 ELO 32
1.2% Tilt -2.4%
12020º General ELO ranking 8445º
149º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
23.9%
Verdal
20.1%
Draw
56%
Stabæk II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
Verdal
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
56%
Win probability
Stabæk II
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Verdal
-22%
-24%
Stabæk II

Points and table prediction

Verdal
Their league position
Stabæk II
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
12º
32
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Rana FK
62
62
100%
Nardo
59
59
100%
Trygg/Lade
54
54
100%
Melhus
42
42
100%
Strømsgodset II
40
40
100%
Lillestrom II
38
38
0%
Tiller IL
38
38
0%
Rosenborg II
35
35
100%
Stabæk II
32
32
100%
Byåsen
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Surnadal
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Verdal
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Orkla
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Mosjøen
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Verdal
Stabæk II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Verdal
Stabæk II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Verdal
Verdal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
6 - 1
Verdal
VER
81%
12%
7%
21 42 21 0
31 Aug. 2024
VER
Verdal
5 - 0
Mosjøen
MOS
77%
14%
9%
21 13 8 0
24 Aug. 2024
BYA
Byåsen
1 - 1
Verdal
VER
82%
12%
6%
20 37 17 +1
17 Aug. 2024
ORK
Orkla
3 - 0
Verdal
VER
53%
20%
27%
21 20 1 -1
10 Aug. 2024
VER
Verdal
0 - 4
Lillestrom II
LIL
24%
20%
56%
23 29 6 -2

Matches

Stabæk II
Stabæk II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
0 - 0
Surnadal
SUR
82%
11%
7%
33 15 18 0
03 Sep. 2024
LIL
Lillestrom II
0 - 3
Stabæk II
STA
54%
19%
27%
32 30 2 +1
25 Aug. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
1 - 3
Orkla
ORK
71%
15%
14%
32 21 11 0
17 Aug. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
0 - 0
Melhus
MEL
68%
17%
15%
32 25 7 0
11 Aug. 2024
MOS
Mosjøen
0 - 7
Stabæk II
STA
17%
18%
65%
32 14 18 0