Vera vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 1
VER
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VER
3 - 2
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VSB
5 - 0
VER
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
LAN
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VEC
6 - 0
VER
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
MAR
15%
24%
60%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 2
REA
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 3
YAI
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EST
5 - 2
REA
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
TEL
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |