Vera Cruz vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.4%
76%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
VCR
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 2
VCR
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
RFC
26%
23%
50%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 1
VCR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 1
VCR
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
ALA
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 2
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
RFC
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 1
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 3
NAU
5%
16%
79%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |