Vera Cruz vs Vitória das Tabocas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
5 - 1
LIM
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SED
2 - 0
VCR
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
9 - 1
MAI
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
2 - 2
ISC
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
0 - 2
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Vitória das Tabocas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 2
AFO
21%
23%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
0 - 6
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 1
CAT
54%
21%
24%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 1
ADJ
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
ACA
65%
22%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |