Ventura County Fusion vs San Francisco City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GSF
2 - 1
VEN
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 2
VEN
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 2
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SCS
3 - 0
VEN
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VEN
2 - 0
SEA
83%
13%
5%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
San Francisco City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
FRE
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 2
VEN
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
BDR
5 - 0
FRA
49%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
BDR
42%
23%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 3
FRA
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +3 |