Ventura County Fusion vs Long Island Rough Riders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 0
MIC
10%
16%
74%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 1
VEN
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
SEA
1 - 2
VEN
34%
23%
44%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VEN
3 - 2
FLA
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 1
GSF
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Long Island Rough Riders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
LON
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SEA
2 - 2
LON
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
VGF
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
OCE
1 - 3
LON
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
LON
6 - 1
NEW
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |