Venray vs Moerse Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
6º
24
10º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
3 - 1
VEN
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 1
UNI
68%
16%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
4 - 0
ORI
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 0
VEN
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 0
RKZ
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Moerse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 0
SIL
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RKZ
1 - 1
MOE
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 2
MEE
15%
19%
67%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HVC
4 - 1
MOE
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MOE
0 - 5
KAM
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |