Venezia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
PIS
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PAD
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
MES
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
VNZ
2 - 0
POT
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
ASS
0 - 1
VNZ
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 0
MOD
51%
28%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
MOD
4 - 0
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |