Venezia vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
VNZ
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VNZ
0 - 1
FCC
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 3
VNZ
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VNZ
3 - 2
TER
52%
23%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 3
VNZ
21%
24%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIN
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAV
5 - 2
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
MIL
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
6 - 0
VAL
75%
18%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |