Venezia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NOV
5 - 1
VNZ
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
VNZ
2 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAL
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 0
VNZ
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
JUV
1 - 0
VNZ
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
PAD
2 - 0
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAD
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRO
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAD
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
PAD
4 - 1
TOR
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |